March 25th, 2008
The Never Ending Election
Adam Nagourney’s article summarizing Hillary Clinton’s increasing difficulty to win the Democratic nomination by the August convention raises questions as to why she remains in the race. With the Republican nomination determined, republican solidarity allows Senator John McCain ample time to woo conservatives and independents alike while Clinton and Obama trade political punches in an extended, and tired, primary.
Some of Clinton’s tactics have damaged the chances of both democratic candidates in the general election against McCain. Her now infamous 3 a.m. advertisement in Ohio and Texas helped elevate McCain as he countered that he would be better suited than either candidate to answer the hypothetical call. Additionally, Clinton’s continued scrutinizing of Obama’s readiness as Commander in Chief damages the Democratic party as Clinton’s own foreign policy experience, and her recollection of visiting Bosnia, is called into question.
As Nagourney highlighted, Clinton’s nomination is increasingly dependent on the support of super delegates. Even if Clinton won the so-called popular vote, she is unlikely to overcome Obama’s delegate lead. House Speaker and Convention Chair Nancy Pelosi expressly criticized the practice of superdelegates overruling the votes of the population to choose a nominee. In a March interview, Pelosi stated, “If the votes of the superdelegates overturn what’s happened in the elections, it would be harmful to the Democratic Party.” No doubt, such a decision by superdelegates would create a turbulent National Convention and be a painful reprise to bitterness of the 1980 convention.
One question regarding Clinton’s attempts to become the first woman president becomes clear: if not now, when?
If Obama were to win the nomination as well as the general election, the next viable opportunity for Clinton to run for President would be in 2016, when she would be vying to be the oldest President, aside from Ronald Reagan.
However, a battered and bloody Obama will face a steeper battle against McCain as this nominating process continues friction among Democrats and allows McCain to focus his attacks. If Obama were to lose, Clinton will be well positioned to challenge McCain in 2012.
After what has already been the longest primary season in history, will Clinton simply continue running for President?